Causal Claim Auditor

Enter a cause and effect claim. This finds the studies behind it, reads how they were designed, and judges whether the evidence shows a real cause or only a link. Then it draws the causal structure as a diagram.

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Takes 30 to 60 seconds, because it reads several studies before answering. Limited to 3 audits per visitor.
Finding studies…
Couldn't reach the auditor
Verdict

Causal support
How strongly the evidence supports reading this as cause and effect, not just a link. Higher needs randomized trials and consistency; lower means the link may be confounding.
How the score is decided

The score is a judgment made by the language model after it works through the five questions in the evidence check below. It follows a fixed rubric:

5 StrongSeveral independent randomized trials or strong natural experiments that agree, and no credible study finding no effect.
4 Moderately strongAt least one well conducted randomized trial or several strong quasi experimental studies, mostly consistent, but with a single landmark trial, some null findings, or limits on who the results apply to.
3 MixedMostly observational evidence with reasonable adjustment, trials only on short term or indirect outcomes, or meaningful contradicting findings.
2 WeakObservational evidence only, poorly adjusted or inconsistent, where confounding could explain the link.
1 Very weakLittle relevant evidence, only cross sectional or area level data, or evidence that mostly contradicts the claim.

Two caps apply. If the evidence rests on one landmark trial, or if any credible study finds no effect or the opposite effect, the score cannot go above 4, and that study is named in the consistency check.

The evidence comes from two web searches: one for supporting studies and one for null or contradicting findings. If the searches return different sources, the score can change.

The evidence check

The five questions a careful researcher asks before trusting a causal claim.

Causal structure

How the pieces relate: the effect under test, the things that could confound it, and the mechanisms it works through.

Direct causal effect Confounder Mechanism (mediator)